I began the blog a week ago, and as of 1:56am Eastern Time there’s been 357 views with over 100+ page-views over each of the past 2 days since I started doing these mini write-ups. I hope y’all appreciate the work I’ve put into this. Despite the fact that I have shown impressive accuracy on this blog (stats at the bottom), I cannot and will not guarantee any prop on SFTC. So remember that each pick is your choice and yours alone. Green you for viewing this page and I hope the prospective I provide for each prop brings you good fortune. Happy Streaking!
9:00am Parma Win or Draw @ AS Roma Win
AS Roma is 6-2-3 at home with 1-goal losses to Cagliari(09/11/11) and 2nd place AC Milan. They drew 1st place Juventus 1-1 but had bad 1-1 draws to Bologna and Siena(both are lower than Parma in Serie A standings). Parma is 2-6-3 on the road. All but 1 of their wins and 1 draws on the road were to the teams even farther below in the Serie A standings than Parma themselves. Their most impressive road showing was a 2-1 win over Napoli way back in October. AS Roma won the last matchup between these two teams 1-0 at Parma. Parma has struggled to score on the road with 4 road losses by 3 goals or more. In my opinion Parma will not win this game and only have about a 20% chance of drawing it. I think AS Roma wins this one by 2 in front of 35k-40k their fans.
The Pick: AS Roma Win Confidence: 2/3
1:00pm Syracuse Wins by Double Digits @ Rutgers Win or Single Digit Loss
Syracuse has a terrific defense that often holds average offensive teams to under 60 points. The Orange are 7-1 on the road with their only loss of the season coming at Notre Dame almost a month ago. The Scarlet Knights are 10-5 at home with a signature wins over UCONN and Florida. Rutgers has dropped 7 of its last 9 however and enter the game on a 4-game losing streak. I think Syracuse’s suffocating D will be too much for Rutgers and that the Orange will win by 10-15 points.
The Pick: Syracuse Wins by Double Digits Confidence: 1.5/3
1:00pm Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks
This has the chance to be a Linsational matchup. Dallas has just as many road wins as New York does home wins, but everyone knows about what Lin and the Knicks have been doing. According to the game preview on ESPN's website, Dallas has won 17 of their last 19 against the Knicks including the last 5 in Madison Square Garden. That being said, they ESPN AccuScore predictor has NY winning 53% of the time, but the line for the game is even. Carmelo is still out for the Knicks, and Dirk averages just under 30points in MSG. Unless the Mavs get intimidated by the Linsanity(doughtful, cause Dallas is a Veteren team), I think Dirk gets off and the Mavs take this one in New York.
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks Confidence: 1/3
This has the chance to be a Linsational matchup. Dallas has just as many road wins as New York does home wins, but everyone knows about what Lin and the Knicks have been doing. According to the game preview on ESPN's website, Dallas has won 17 of their last 19 against the Knicks including the last 5 in Madison Square Garden. That being said, they ESPN AccuScore predictor has NY winning 53% of the time, but the line for the game is even. Carmelo is still out for the Knicks, and Dirk averages just under 30points in MSG. Unless the Mavs get intimidated by the Linsanity(doughtful, cause Dallas is a Veteren team), I think Dirk gets off and the Mavs take this one in New York.
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks Confidence: 1/3
1:00pm Michigan St. Spartans @ Purdue Boilermakers
Michigan State has been on a hot-streak, winning their last four games by double digits with three coming against top 25 teams. Sparty beat Purdue by 25 at home back in January. Purdue is 0-6 against ranked opponents this year losing 3 of the matchups at home. The Boilermakers have not beaten a team ranked higher than them in the Big 10 all year. They have been playing better basketball lately since their 3-point loss on the road to Ohio State. Sparty wins this one but I think Purdue and Hummel make a game of it.
The Pick: Michigan State Spartans Confidence: 1.5/3
1:05pm Jeremy Lin’s 1st half points: 12 or Fewer/13 or More (Mavericks @ Knicks)
They should change SportsCenter to LinCenter with all the hype Lin has been getting lately. I don’t hate all the Linsanity but I have not jumped on the bandwagon so this will be a completely unbiased pick. The Mavericks play good defense and I think they keep Lin in check. Not 100% on this, but I’m pretty sure Lin scores the majority of his points in the second half any way. Under is the call here.
The Pick: 12 Points or Fewer Confidence: 1.5/3
3:35pm Magic Win or Single Digit Loss @ Miami Wins by Double Digits
The Last time these two teams played was in Orlando and James had a poor night while the Magic hit 17 3’s. I think it’ll be a different story in Miami. The Heat are 9.5 favorites and have been on fire(pun intended) lately beating every team they’ve played since the magic loss by 20+ points. I think the Heat blaze(another bad joke) past the Magic here by double digits by keeping the Orlando shooters in check.
The Pick: Miami Wins by Double Digits Confidence:1/3
3:35pm More 1st Half Points: Dwight Howard/Chris Bosh or Tie
Even win the Magic hit their 17 3’s last time vs. the Heat, Dwight was still their leading scorer with 25. Dwight has been averaging around 8points more than Bosh over the last 10 games. I’d almost go as far as to say Dwight will have more rebounds than Bosh in the 1st half as well. Unless Bosh eats extra Wheaties in the morning, Dwight gets this prop by at least 5-6 points. To me, this is a safer beat than the Heat winning by double digits.
The Pick: Dwight Howard Confidence: 1.5/3
6:05pm Duke Wins by 15+ Points or Any Other Result (Duke @ Boston College)
There’s really not a better way to say this, Boston College is just plain awful. Duke has beat better teams than BC by 15+ points on the road. Boston College has lost 15+ points to Miami, Wake Forrest, Harvard, and Massachusetts by 15+ Points at home. Unless Duke drops an egg here or Boston College plays their best game of the season, Duke will win this game by 15+ points. Duke averages 20 more points a game than BC to begin with, but I think The Blue Devils take this one by 15-20 points.
The Pick: Duke Wins by 15+ Points Confidence 1.5/3
7:00pm Philadelphia 76ers @ Minnesota Timberwolves
The 76ers have the best defense in the league in Points allowed, but are coming off back-to-back losses. They haven’t lost more than 2 games in a row this year though. The wolves are 8-10 at home and are on a 2-game winning streak. These teams haven’t played each other yet this year and it should be a close matchup. The 88% picking the 76ers on SFTC cash is a Ludacris percentage so do not be fooled. I can honestly see this one going either way, but I think the 76ers win a tight one with a score in the high 80’s-low 90’s.
The Pick: Philadelphia 76ers Confidence: 0.5/3
7:05pm USF 3-Pointers Made or Tie @ Pittsburgh Winning Margin
USF is actually ranked ahead of Pitt in the Big East standings by quite a large margin. Their only impressive home win was against Georgetown by 12. USF is a different team on the road though, losing at Notre dame, Marquette, and Georgetown by double digits. In fact, USF has been held to under 50 points in 6 road games and have struggled to score all year. USF did beat Pittsburgh at home by 12 just a few weeks ago. USF makes 5 out of the 15 3’s they attempt per game. In their last meeting USF shot 60% to Pitt’s 35%. I don’t see that happening this game. USF may very well win this outright but it should be a low-scoring game in the low 60’s-high 50’s. I’m picking USF strictly because of the 3-pointers option, but Pitt very well may win this prop.
The Pick: USF 3-Pointers Made or Tie Confidence: 1/3
8:00pm Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns
The Lakers just beat the Suns at home by 12 just 2 ago, and lead the league in rebounding. The Suns have more wins on the road than at home this year but the Lakers haven’t been the best on the road this year, winning just 33% of their game away from L.A. Kobe usually plays great against the Suns and scored 36 Thursday. I think the Lakers get this one by 5-6 points, but I wouldn’t be completely surprised if the Suns take this one.
The Pick: Los Angeles Lakers Confidence: 1/3
8:05pm Assists + Points for Russell Westbrook in 1st half: 14 or fewer/15 or More (Denver Nuggets @ OKC Thunder)
This is a trap prop in my opinion for the people who do not know that Russell Westbrook sprained his ankle yesterday against the Warriors. He very well may not even play in this game. Normally this would be a tough call based on his averages, but with the injury, KD carries the load for OKC and 14 or fewer is the right call here... if he plays.
The Pick: 14 or Fewer Confidence: 1.5/3
Max picks entry for tomorrow:
9:00am AS Roma Win
1:00pm Michigan State Spartans Win
3:25pm Dwight Howard has more 1st Half Points than Chris Bosh
6:05pm Duke Wins by 15+ Points
8:05pm 14 or Fewer on Russell Westbrook’s Assists + Points (if he plays)
8:00pm Los Angeles Lakers Win (if Westbrook doesn’t play in the OKC game)
Max Picks Entry Selection: 24 – 6
Max Picks Entry Yesterday: 4 - 2
Total Winning % for the ‘Max Picks Entry’ Picks 80%
Pick of the Day: AS Roma Win
Pick of the day percentages: 3-0 100%
My current All-Time stats for my ESPN profile hazzargm since starting at the end of January:
Soccer 19 - 4 - 1
NBA 6 - 10
NCAA Men's Basketball 22 - 8
NCAA Women's Basketball 1 - 0
Golf 1 - 1
NCAA Football 0 - 1
Longest Streak - 8 Wins
3 winning streaks over 5 Wins
Soccer 19 - 4 - 1
NBA 6 - 10
NCAA Men's Basketball 22 - 8
NCAA Women's Basketball 1 - 0
Golf 1 - 1
NCAA Football 0 - 1
Longest Streak - 8 Wins
3 winning streaks over 5 Wins
Record on this blog for props with a confidence of 2/5 or higher: 7 – 1 88%
Rest of the props: 52 – 25 68%
Thanks for all of the info! I don't think you need to change a thing on here. 16-4 since taking your advice, WAY better than I was doing before...with a win 9 included...woo hoo! OK, I'm sounding like an infomercial...thanks again!
ReplyDeleteNo problem! Glad to help!
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