Well I officially know nothing about hockey, and suck at picking its winners. So I’m simply not going to pick any more hockey props or golf props. I’ll also start a brief write-up for all the non-hockey and non-golf props. Nothing extensive, but they will give the logical and statistical reasoning behind my picks. I also am changing the confidence scale to be out of 3 instead of 5.
2:45pm Napoli Win or Draw @ Fiorentina Win
Napoli won or drew 18 of their last 23 games, and are 3-5-3 on the road in 2012. They beat AC Milan 3-1 at home and then drew them on the road. On the Other hand Fiorentina has only won 7 of their last 21 games, with a 6-3-2 home record. Recently they’ve been up and down, losing to a horrible Lecce team at home just 4 games ago, but beating solid Udinese team 3-2 in their last outing. I doubt Napoli will win the game and it’s unlikely that Fiorentina will lose. I think the game will more than likely result in a draw.
The Pick: Napoli Win or Draw Confidence: 1.5/3
3:15pm Maritimo Win @ Rio Ave Win or Draw
Maritimo has won 9 of their last 18 games and is sitting in 5th place in the Liga. Their road record is 3-4-2 and the won the last meeting between these two teams 2-1(Maritimo was at home). They drew a bad Feirense team and a Gil Vicente team that is comparable with Rio Ave. Rio Ave has won or drawn 8 of their last 18 games and bring a 4-2-2 home record to the table. Rio Ave is definitely a different team at home. My advice: pick the other soccer prop. That being said, I still have to give my pick.
The Pick: Maritimo Confidence: 0.5/3
7:05pm Northern Iowa 3-Pointers Made or Tie @ Virginia Commonwealth Winning Margin
VCU has had quite a bit of success this year but their level of competition isn’t as great as Northern Iowa’s. UNI is making 7.92 3’s a game, attempting a little over 20 a game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see UNI win this outright, but I’m fairly confident they won’t get beat by more than 8.
The Pick: UNI 3-Pointers Made or Tie Confidence: 1.5/3
7:35pm Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons
Sacremento has been Awful on the road, but then again the Pistons aren’t exactly the Miami Heat either. The kings are on a 3-game losing streak and are officially the worst team in the NBA with 14 road losses.
The Pick: Detroit Pistons Confidence: 1/3
8:05pm Dirk Nowitzki’s 1st Half Points: 9 or Fewer/10 or More
We’re talking about Dirk Nowitzki here, he’ll probably reach his 18 point season average putting the line right at the 9-10 split. The 76ers have the second best defense in the NBA and play great at home.
The Pick: 9 Points or Fewer Confidence:1.5/3
8:05pm Dallas Mavericks @ Philadelphia 76ers
Both teams are pretty solid, I really wanna pick the 76es at home but it’s hard to pick against the defending world champs.
The Pick: Philadelphia 76ers Confidence: 1/3
9:05pm Valparaiso 3-Pointers made @ Loyola Marymount Winning Margin or Tie
Loyola almost plays better on the road than they do at home, but they are coming off a big win against Saint Mary’s. Valpo has a good record but they haven’t really played anyone and have some bad 20+ point road losses. They shoot about 35% from 3 and average 6.8 per game. I think Loyola will cover the 6 point spread at home.
The Pick: Loyola Winning Margin or Tie Confidence: 2/3
9:15pm Mavericks More 3PM in 3rd Qtr or 76ers more 3PM made in 3rd Qtr or Tie
The Mavericks average 7.0 3’s a game, attempting 21.3 per game, and the 76ers average 6.1 while attempting 15.8 per game.
The Pick: Mavericks More 3PM in 3rd Quarter Confidence: 1.5/3
10:35pm Suns Win or Single Digit Loss @ Lakers Win by Double Digits
The Lakers play great at home and play great defense, I don’t think Steve Nash will be able to keep this within 10.
The Pick: Lakers Win by Double Digits Confidence: 1.5/3
Maximizing picks entry for tomorrow:
10:27am Keegan Bradley or Tie
2:45pm Napoli Win/Draw
8:05pm Northern Iowa 3PM
9:05pm Loyola Marymount Winning Margin
10:35pm Lakers Win by Double Digits
Max Picks Entry Selection: 15 – 4
Max Picks Entry Yesterday: 4 - 1
Total Winning % for the ‘Max Picks Entry’ Picks 79%
Pick of the Day: Loyola Marymount Winning Margin
Pick of the day percentages: 1-0 100%
My current All-Time stats for my ESPN profile hazzargm since starting at the end of January:
Soccer 17 - 4 - 1
NBA 5 - 10
NCAA Men's Basketball 20 - 6
NCAA Women's Basketball 1 - 0
Golf 1 - 1
NCAA Football 0 - 1
Longest Streak - 8 Wins
2 winning streaks over 5 Wins
Soccer 17 - 4 - 1
NBA 5 - 10
NCAA Men's Basketball 20 - 6
NCAA Women's Basketball 1 - 0
Golf 1 - 1
NCAA Football 0 - 1
Longest Streak - 8 Wins
2 winning streaks over 5 Wins
Record on this blog for props with a confidence of 2/3 or higher: 4 – 1 80%
Rest of the props: 34 – 19 64%
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